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House repossessions figures are misleading

Page last updated Saturday, 23 May 2009

There were 12,800 repossessions by first-charge mortgage lenders in the first quarter of this year, according to the Council of Mortgage Lenders. This compares with 10,400 in the fourth quarter of last year, and 8,500 in the first quarter of 2008.

Although repossessions are still rising, the CML now thinks its 75,000 forecast looks pessimistic for the year as a whole, and expects to revise the figure downwards in its next housing market forecast update.

Source Council of Mortgage Lenders


DebtWizard Comment

Although the data is collected correctly by the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) it does not offer a true reflection of the current market conditions, these figures are misleading as there is no taking into account the number of homes being sold by families to private landlords, often referred to as 'sale and rent back scheme'.

Many of these sales under 'sale and rent back' are conducted to prevent the home being repossessed and the seller then usually remains in the property, albeit being owned by someone else, and pays rent, so in effect becomes a tenant.

It is estimated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) that some 50,000 of these homes have been sold under this scheme over the past 'few' years and Mike estimates that about 20,000 to 25,000 of these have been sold during 2008 alone. Mike feels that because 'sale and rent back' was not an option back in 1991 when 76,000 homes were repossessed he believes that the true figure for this year without 'sale and rent back' would be around 60,000 - 65,000 homes, this would then make it compatible with those figures back in 1991.

Another point that can not be challenged is that it takes between 6 and 12 months to have a home repossessed, therefore the figures released are based upon old data when the economy was more stronger.

Mike argues that with unemployment expected to reach 3 million by the end of the year then this will only add to the repossession figures. He claims it is only spin, together with 'sale and rent back', that is masking and distorting the true state of the housing market.

Mike has written an article 'out of the blue' and explains about how long lenders have to pursue a borrower for a mortgage shortfall following the forced sale after the repossession. Some will be astounded by the length of time they can chase the debt.

To view the article click here

You can see Mike commenting on this on the BBC News Channel by clicking here - then look under 20 Feb 2009.

 

 

 

 


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Mike Thomas aka the 'DebtWizard' helps individuals overcome their debt problems.

Mike writes all the articles found on this site.