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Deflation here we come

Page last updated Thursday, 21 May 2009

008-deflationUK annual inflation slowed in April as consumers' energy and food bills continued to drop according to figures released from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

The Consumer Prices Index (CPI)

This fell to 2.3% from 2.9% in March; the largest downward pressure affecting the change in the CPI annual rate was from housing and household services. This was mainly due to electricity and gas bills which fell this year but rose a year ago. Also housing rents and water and sewerage charges rose by less than a year ago.

The decline was more than what most economists expected.

CPI is used by the Government to measure inflation. It does not include council tax or mortgage interest costs.

Retail Prices Index (RPI)

This is another measure of inflation which fell further to -1.2% from -0.4%, the biggest drop since records began in 1948.

The main factors affecting RPI is lower mortgage interest payments, lower cost for cars and a reduction in the price of oils and fuel.

RPI is used to negotiate wage increases, pensions, state benefits and index linked guilts.

Either one of these inflation measures can have a major influence on the economy as they will affect interest rate decisions, pensions and wage settlements.

What is deflation?

Deflation occurs when prices are declining over time. This is the opposite of inflation; when the inflation rate (by some measure) is negative, the economy is in a deflationary period.

The worry is that consumers will keep putting off the purchasing goods, becasue of deflation, in the hope that the item will drop in price even further.


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Mike Thomas aka the 'DebtWizard' helps individuals overcome their debt problems.

Mike writes all the articles found on this site.