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Page last updated Tuesday, 20 April 2010
With the UK inflation rate rising sharply to 3.4% we explain why it has risen and the difference between CPI and RPI. We also detail what impact both measures have on consumers.
Consumer Prices Index (CPI) annual inflation climbed to 3.4% in March, up from 3% the month before according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS), which is well above the target of 2 per cent set by the Government. The rise has surprised many analysts.
Rising fuel costs have helped towards the rise of CPI, along with VAT returning to its normal 17.5% said the Office of national Statistics (ONS).
CPI is used by the Government to measure inflation. It does not include council tax or mortgage interest costs.
Figures published today by the ONS also reveal that annual inflation measured by the Retail Prices Index (RPI) - which includes housing costs such as mortgage interest payments and council tax rose sharply to 4.4% up from 3.7% on the month before.
RPI is used to negotiate wage increases, pensions, state benefits and index linked guilts.
Either one of these inflation measures can have a major influence on the economy as they will affect interest rate decisions, pensions and wage settlements.
What is deflation?
Deflation occurs when prices are declining over time. This is the opposite of inflation; when the inflation rate (by some measure) is negative, the economy is in a deflationary period. The worry is that consumers will keep putting off the purchasing goods, because of deflation, in the hope that the item will drop in price even further.
ONS has a personal inflation calculator on its website as a guide for the public to measure their own inflation.
Full report can be found at: statistics.gov.uk
Petrol prices which are behind this inflation increase are starting to become a worry for many consumers, a year ago it was around 86p per litre now it is around 1.20. This huge increase will reduce the amount of spending power consumers have and they can do nothing about it as many need petrol just to get to work. Oil producers are notoriously slow in passing on reduced production costs, they always cite that the cost of refining is going up and the strength of the dollar against the pound is not helping either. I can see no hope in the immediate future on any reduction in the price of petrol.
Another problem has been the VAT rate with it reverting back to its original amount of 17.5% in January; this in turn will make goods more expensive and will fuel inflation throughout this year.
I am no economist but I know one tool to fight inflation is to increase interest rates but many analysts state that inflation is likely to drop over the coming months due to weak economic growth and higher unemployment.
If interest rates were to go up then this will have an impact on those that rely on borrowing, such as mortgages and credit card debts as they will become over time more expensive to service.
Meanwhile savers will welcome any increase as they feel they have been punished for putting money aside and for being prudent with their finances. The 13 month run on historic low interest rates have eroded their savings and drastically reduced any income that they relied on upon to supplement their day to day living.
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